Florida · SRQ
Sarasota weather this week
Sarasota scores 7.5 out of 10 and has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 7. Dull days (6) still outnumber bright ones (1), so this is not a good week.
The model gives this week 7.5 out of 10 because it is warm and largely rain-free, and those are the two things the score measures. It is not measuring sunshine. With 1 genuinely clear day and 6 dull ones, expect grey skies. We are showing you the number and the contradiction rather than only the number.
1 clear of 7 days · best run 6 days — The clouds are winning — 1 clear day out of 7 — 97°F peaks
The next 7 days in Sarasota
Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 7 days (29%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.
Booking window Tue 11 Aug–Thu 13 Aug: 8.1/10 for those days alone. The 7-day outlook score (7.5) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.
| Day | High | Low | Rain chance | Sky | Day score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88°F | 75°F | 29% | Overcast cloudy | 7.8 Cloudy with rain risk |
|
| 88°F | 76°F | 20% | Light drizzle wet | 7.0 Light drizzle - expect to get wet |
|
| 94°F | 80°F | 10% | Mainly clear clear | 8.7 Clear but hot (94°F) |
|
| 96°F | 81°F | 7% | Overcast cloudy | 7.2 Cloudy and dry |
|
| 93°F | 82°F | 8% | Overcast cloudy | 7.7 Cloudy and dry |
|
| 96°F | 81°F | 11% | Overcast cloudy | 7.3 Cloudy and dry |
|
| 97°F | 81°F | 20% | Overcast cloudy | 6.8 Cloudy with rain risk |
How this week got its score
- 7 forecast days: 1 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 5 overcast, 1 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
- Trimmed mean of day scores 7.4 × 0.55 = 4.07
- Worst day drag: worst day is 6.8 × 0.25 = 1.70 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
- Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 6/7 = 86% coverage × 0.20 = 1.71
- Best single day is 8.7 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
- Advertised 3-day window (2026-08-11→2026-08-13) scores 8.1 on its own.
- Legacy gate counted 4/7 days as "perfect sun"; this model counts 1 genuinely clear.
The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.
Getting to Sarasota
The nearest airport we price is SRQ. From New York City that is about 2h 34m in the air out of EWR, 1035 miles. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.
Where to stay in Sarasota
3 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.
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$424per night$1,270 total
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$135per night$405 total
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$97.39per night$292 total
So, should you go?
Sarasota scores 7.5 out of 10 and has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 7. Dull days (6) still outnumber bright ones (1), so this is not a good week. There is some sun in this window, but not much. Compare it against the rest of the list before booking.
Sarasota by month — 8-year ERA5 history
Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.
| Month | Historically clear | Sample (n) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 17% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| February | 38% | n=226 | all destinations → |
| March | 49% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| April | 50% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| May | 40% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| June | 8% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| July | 5% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| August | 5% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| September | 11% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| October | 39% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| November | 42% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| December | 31% | n=248 | all destinations → |
Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Sarasota in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.
Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-08-09T05:01:05.311896Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.