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North Carolina · ILM

Wilmington weather this week

Wilmington, North Carolina Just your ID

Wilmington scores 9.1 out of 10 and has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 16. Dull days (2) still outnumber bright ones (2), so this is not a good week.

9.1/10
Mostly dull
1 genuinely clear day, 1 partly cloudy, 2 overcast, 0 wet, 0 stormy — out of 16 forecast days.
Bright days 2 vs dull days 2. Dull wins, so we do not call this a good week.
We are not showing a flattering tier word here. Why the score and the sky can disagree.

The model gives this week 9.1 out of 10 because it is warm and largely rain-free, and those are the two things the score measures. It is not measuring sunshine. With 1 genuinely clear day and 2 dull ones, expect grey skies. We are showing you the number and the contradiction rather than only the number.

4-day window, zero rain — The clouds are winning — 1 clear day out of 4 plus 1 partly cloudy, 83°F

The next 16 days in Wilmington

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (88%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Tue 13 Oct–Fri 16 Oct: 9.1/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (9.1) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Wilmington daily forecast, Thu 8 Oct to Fri 23 Oct (16 days total). Best single day scores 10.0; worst scores 4.0. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
82°F 59°F 1% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 82°F, dry as a bone.
83°F 64°F 3% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 83°F, dry as a bone.
75°F 65°F 66% Rain showers wet 5.2
Rain showers, 75°F — it'll pass.
79°F 72°F 88% Thunderstorm storm 4.0
Thunderstorms, 79°F — Mother Nature has opinions.
80°F 65°F 52% Overcast cloudy 6.8
Overcast, 80°F, light rain possible.
83°F 62°F 3% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 83°F, dry as a bone.
83°F 66°F 4% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 83°F, dry as a bone.
78°F 61°F 1% Partly cloudy partly 9.3
Partly cloudy, 78°F, not a drop of rain.
80°F 61°F 5% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 80°F, zero drama.
86°F 64°F 21% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 86°F — it'll pass.
67°F 50°F 15% Partly cloudy partly 8.6
Partly cloudy, 67°F, not a drop of rain.
73°F 49°F 18% Overcast cloudy 8.3
Overcast, 73°F, dry as a bone.
77°F 58°F 19% Overcast cloudy 8.2
Overcast, 77°F, dry as a bone.
74°F 63°F 16% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 74°F — it'll pass.
74°F 66°F 16% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 74°F — it'll pass.
79°F 66°F 23% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 79°F — it'll pass.

How this week got its score

  • 4 forecast days: 1 clear/mainly clear, 1 partly cloudy, 2 overcast, 0 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 9.1 × 0.55 = 4.99
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 8.5 × 0.25 = 2.12 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 4/4 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
  • Best single day is 10.0 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Wilmington

The nearest airport we price is ILM. From New York City that is about 1h 29m in the air out of JFK, 495 miles. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Wilmington

15 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.

So, should you go?

Wilmington scores 9.1 out of 10 and has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 16. Dull days (2) still outnumber bright ones (2), so this is not a good week. There is some sun in this window, but not much. Compare it against the rest of the list before booking.

Frequently asked

Is it raining in Wilmington this week?

No. The current 16-day forecast for Wilmington shows no rain or storm days, peaking at 88% chance on the worst day. Cloud is not the dealbreaker here — rain is, and none is forecast.

How many clear days does Wilmington have this week?

One. Wilmington has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 16.

Is Wilmington good for a trip this week?

Marginal. Wilmington scores 9.1/10, but dull days (2) still outnumber bright ones (2) this week.

Wilmington by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Wilmington: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 1% n=248 all destinations →
February 7% n=226 all destinations →
March 12% n=248 all destinations →
April 32% n=240 all destinations →
May 34% n=248 all destinations →
June 22% n=240 all destinations →
July 16% n=248 all destinations →
August 19% n=248 all destinations →
September 36% n=240 all destinations →
October 40% n=248 all destinations →
November 8% n=240 all destinations →
December 3% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Wilmington in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-10-08T13:01:07.320349Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.