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SunnyDays

Arizona · TUS

Tucson weather this week

Tucson, Arizona Just your ID

Tucson scores 8.8 out of 10 and has 5 genuinely clear days out of 16.

8.8/10
Genuinely clear
5 genuinely clear days, 0 partly cloudy, 3 overcast, 1 wet, 0 stormy — out of 16 forecast days.
Bright days 5 vs dull days 4. Bright wins.
Our model tiers this window Excellent, and the clear-day count supports that.

9-day window, 0.7% rain-affected — Sunshine, day after day — 9-days run, 5 genuinely clear, 90°F

The next 16 days in Tucson

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (52%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Wed 14 Oct–Thu 22 Oct: 8.8/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (8.8) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Tucson daily forecast, Thu 8 Oct to Fri 23 Oct (16 days total). Best single day scores 10.0; worst scores 5.4. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
98°F 67°F 1% Clear clear 8.4
Clear skies, 98°F — aggressively sunny.
98°F 73°F 3% Overcast cloudy 7.0
Overcast, 98°F, toasty with a lid on.
92°F 78°F 52% Rain showers wet 5.4
Rain showers, 92°F — it'll pass.
86°F 76°F 31% Drizzle wet 6.2
Drizzle, 86°F — it'll pass.
86°F 73°F 24% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 86°F — it'll pass.
82°F 66°F 34% Drizzle wet 6.2
Drizzle, 82°F — it'll pass.
75°F 65°F 20% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 75°F — it'll pass.
79°F 67°F 2% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 79°F, zero drama.
80°F 70°F 6% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 80°F, dry as a bone.
82°F 68°F 3% Mainly clear clear 9.8
Clear skies, 82°F, zero drama.
83°F 68°F 1% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 83°F, zero drama.
88°F 73°F 6% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 88°F, zero drama.
90°F 77°F 6% Overcast cloudy 8.2
Overcast, 90°F, dry as a bone.
89°F 78°F 10% Clear clear 9.8
Clear skies, 89°F — sunscreen is not optional.
90°F 78°F 23% Overcast cloudy 7.7
Overcast, 90°F, light rain possible.
83°F 69°F 23% Rain showers wet 5.6
Rain showers, 83°F — it'll pass.

How this week got its score

  • 9 forecast days: 5 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 3 overcast, 1 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 9.1 × 0.55 = 5.03
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 7.0 × 0.25 = 1.75 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 9/9 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
  • Best single day is 10.0 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Tucson

The nearest airport we price is TUS. From New York City that is about 4h 43m in the air out of EWR, 2112 miles. Then about 12m to drive from TUS (est. 8 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: 4h 55m. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Tucson

15 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.

So, should you go?

Tucson scores 8.8 out of 10 and has 5 genuinely clear days out of 16. That holds up. Check the daily rows above for which specific days carry the sun, and price it from your own airport.

Frequently asked

Is it raining in Tucson this week?

Partly. 1 of the next 16 day in Tucson are forecast wet or stormy, peaking at 52% chance on the worst day — the rest are dry, whatever the cloud cover.

How many clear days does Tucson have this week?

5. Tucson has 5 genuinely clear days out of the next 16.

Is Tucson good for a trip this week?

Yes. Tucson scores 8.8/10 with 5 genuinely clear days out of 16 — bright days outnumber dull ones.

Tucson by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Tucson: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 13% n=248 all destinations →
February 38% n=226 all destinations →
March 57% n=248 all destinations →
April 88% n=240 all destinations →
May 94% n=248 all destinations →
June 89% n=240 all destinations →
July 57% n=248 all destinations →
August 55% n=248 all destinations →
September 70% n=240 all destinations →
October 82% n=248 all destinations →
November 56% n=240 all destinations →
December 27% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Tucson in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-10-08T13:01:07.320349Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.