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SunnyDays

JP · HND

Tokyo weather this week

Tokyo, JP Passport worthy

Tokyo scores 9.3 out of 10 and has 4 genuinely clear days out of 16.

9.3/10
Genuinely clear
4 genuinely clear days, 0 partly cloudy, 2 overcast, 0 wet, 0 stormy — out of 16 forecast days.
Bright days 4 vs dull days 2. Bright wins.
Our model tiers this window Perfect, and the clear-day count supports that.

6-day window, zero rain — Sunshine, day after day — 6-days run, 4 genuinely clear, 78°F

The next 16 days in Tokyo

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (39%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Thu 8 Oct–Tue 13 Oct: 9.3/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (9.3) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Tokyo daily forecast, Thu 8 Oct to Fri 23 Oct (16 days total). Best single day scores 10.0; worst scores 6.6. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
75°F 60°F 4% Mainly clear clear 9.8
Clear skies, 75°F, zero drama.
76°F 60°F 0% Mainly clear clear 9.8
Clear skies, 76°F, zero drama.
76°F 59°F 0% Mainly clear clear 9.8
Clear skies, 76°F, zero drama.
78°F 59°F 0% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 78°F, zero drama.
77°F 62°F 2% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 77°F, dry as a bone.
77°F 64°F 0% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 77°F, dry as a bone.
81°F 62°F 23% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 81°F — it'll pass.
72°F 63°F 25% Overcast cloudy 8.0
Overcast, 72°F, light rain possible.
77°F 61°F 22% Overcast cloudy 8.1
Overcast, 77°F, light rain possible.
76°F 64°F 24% Rain showers wet 6.6
Rain showers, 76°F — it'll pass.
74°F 64°F 24% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 74°F — it'll pass.
67°F 58°F 39% Overcast cloudy 6.8
Overcast, 67°F, light rain possible.
67°F 55°F 39% Overcast cloudy 6.8
Overcast, 67°F, light rain possible.
72°F 54°F 25% Mainly clear clear 9.2
Clear skies, 72°F — pack a layer.
70°F 58°F 22% Rain showers wet 6.6
Rain showers, 70°F — it'll pass.
72°F 61°F 29% Rain showers wet 6.6
Rain showers, 72°F — it'll pass.

How this week got its score

  • 6 forecast days: 4 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 2 overcast, 0 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 9.5 × 0.55 = 5.21
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 8.5 × 0.25 = 2.12 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 6/6 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
  • Best single day is 10.0 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Tokyo

The nearest airport we price is HND. From New York City that is about 13h 54m in the air out of SWF, 6697 miles. Then about 18m to drive from HND (est. 12 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: 14h 12m. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Tokyo

15 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.

So, should you go?

Tokyo scores 9.3 out of 10 and has 4 genuinely clear days out of 16. That holds up. Check the daily rows above for which specific days carry the sun, and price it from your own airport.

Frequently asked

Is it raining in Tokyo this week?

No. The current 16-day forecast for Tokyo shows no rain or storm days, peaking at 39% chance on the worst day. Cloud is not the dealbreaker here — rain is, and none is forecast.

How many clear days does Tokyo have this week?

4. Tokyo has 4 genuinely clear days out of the next 16.

Is Tokyo good for a trip this week?

Yes. Tokyo scores 9.3/10 with 4 genuinely clear days out of 16 — bright days outnumber dull ones.

Tokyo by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Tokyo: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 0% n=248 all destinations →
February 0% n=226 all destinations →
March 3% n=248 all destinations →
April 12% n=240 all destinations →
May 32% n=248 all destinations →
June 27% n=240 all destinations →
July 27% n=248 all destinations →
August 29% n=248 all destinations →
September 26% n=240 all destinations →
October 21% n=248 all destinations →
November 2% n=240 all destinations →
December 0% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Tokyo in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-10-08T13:01:07.320349Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.