Skip to main content
SunnyDays

Florida · TPA

Tampa weather this week

Tampa, Florida Just your ID

Tampa scores 8.4 out of 10 and has 4 genuinely clear days out of 16.

8.4/10
Genuinely clear
4 genuinely clear days, 0 partly cloudy, 2 overcast, 0 wet, 0 stormy — out of 16 forecast days.
Bright days 4 vs dull days 2. Bright wins.
Our model tiers this window Excellent, and the clear-day count supports that.

6-day window, 0.2% rain-affected — Sunshine, day after day — 5-days run, 4 genuinely clear, 90°F

The next 16 days in Tampa

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (75%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Mon 12 Oct–Sat 17 Oct: 8.4/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (8.4) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Tampa daily forecast, Thu 8 Oct to Fri 23 Oct (16 days total). Best single day scores 9.9; worst scores 4.8. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
80°F 74°F 75% Rain showers wet 4.8
Rain showers, 80°F — it'll pass.
85°F 73°F 68% Overcast cloudy 6.1
Overcast, 85°F, light rain possible.
92°F 76°F 61% Overcast cloudy 5.8
Overcast, 92°F, light rain possible.
85°F 78°F 45% Light drizzle wet 6.5
Light drizzle, 85°F — it'll pass.
88°F 74°F 9% Drizzle cloudy 6.2
Overcast, 88°F, dry as a bone.
89°F 69°F 3% Clear clear 9.9
Clear skies, 89°F, zero drama.
89°F 70°F 3% Clear clear 9.8
Clear skies, 89°F — sunscreen is not optional.
88°F 70°F 8% Mainly clear clear 9.8
Clear skies, 88°F, zero drama.
90°F 71°F 12% Clear clear 9.7
Clear skies, 90°F — sunscreen is not optional.
89°F 74°F 19% Overcast cloudy 8.1
Overcast, 89°F, dry as a bone.
82°F 75°F 19% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 82°F — it'll pass.
82°F 72°F 26% Overcast cloudy 8.0
Overcast, 82°F, light rain possible.
85°F 70°F 29% Overcast cloudy 7.8
Overcast, 85°F, light rain possible.
87°F 69°F 29% Overcast cloudy 7.8
Overcast, 87°F, light rain possible.
89°F 71°F 19% Overcast cloudy 8.0
Overcast, 89°F, dry as a bone.
90°F 74°F 16% Overcast cloudy 8.0
Overcast, 90°F, dry as a bone.

How this week got its score

  • 6 forecast days: 4 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 2 overcast, 0 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 9.3 × 0.55 = 5.14
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 6.2 × 0.25 = 1.55 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 5/6 = 83% coverage × 0.20 = 1.67
  • Best single day is 9.9 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Tampa

The nearest airport we price is TPA. From New York City that is about 2h 30m in the air out of EWR, 998 miles. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Tampa

15 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.

So, should you go?

Tampa scores 8.4 out of 10 and has 4 genuinely clear days out of 16. That holds up. Check the daily rows above for which specific days carry the sun, and price it from your own airport.

Frequently asked

Is it raining in Tampa this week?

No. The current 16-day forecast for Tampa shows no rain or storm days, peaking at 75% chance on the worst day. Cloud is not the dealbreaker here — rain is, and none is forecast.

How many clear days does Tampa have this week?

4. Tampa has 4 genuinely clear days out of the next 16.

Is Tampa good for a trip this week?

Yes. Tampa scores 8.4/10 with 4 genuinely clear days out of 16 — bright days outnumber dull ones.

Tampa by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Tampa: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 23% n=248 all destinations →
February 40% n=226 all destinations →
March 52% n=248 all destinations →
April 54% n=240 all destinations →
May 38% n=248 all destinations →
June 6% n=240 all destinations →
July 2% n=248 all destinations →
August 2% n=248 all destinations →
September 12% n=240 all destinations →
October 41% n=248 all destinations →
November 41% n=240 all destinations →
December 34% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Tampa in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-10-08T13:01:07.320349Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.