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SunnyDays

Florida · JAX

St. Augustine weather this week

St. Augustine, Florida Just your ID

St. Augustine scores 9.3 out of 10 and has 2 genuinely clear days out of 16.

9.3/10
Partly clear
2 genuinely clear days, 0 partly cloudy, 1 overcast, 0 wet, 0 stormy — out of 16 forecast days.
Bright days 2 vs dull days 1. Bright wins.
Our model tiers this window Perfect, and the clear-day count supports that.

3-day window, zero rain — Sunshine, day after day — 3-days run, 2 genuinely clear, 87°F

The next 16 days in St. Augustine

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (84%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Mon 12 Oct–Wed 14 Oct: 9.3/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (9.3) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

St. Augustine daily forecast, Thu 8 Oct to Fri 23 Oct (16 days total). Best single day scores 10.0; worst scores 4.0. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
78°F 73°F 45% Rain showers wet 6.4
Rain showers, 78°F — it'll pass.
79°F 73°F 84% Rain wet 4.3
Rain, 79°F — it'll pass.
89°F 76°F 78% Thunderstorm storm 4.0
Thunderstorms, 89°F — Mother Nature has opinions.
92°F 75°F 59% Light drizzle wet 5.3
Light drizzle, 92°F — it'll pass.
87°F 67°F 15% Overcast cloudy 8.4
Overcast, 87°F, dry as a bone.
85°F 66°F 1% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 85°F, zero drama.
87°F 66°F 5% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 87°F, zero drama.
86°F 69°F 15% Light drizzle cloudy 7.0
Overcast, 86°F, dry as a bone.
83°F 76°F 11% Light drizzle cloudy 7.0
Overcast, 83°F, dry as a bone.
84°F 75°F 21% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 84°F — it'll pass.
78°F 74°F 26% Heavy drizzle wet 5.4
Heavy drizzle, 78°F — it'll pass.
78°F 73°F 33% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 78°F — it'll pass.
82°F 72°F 32% Drizzle wet 6.2
Drizzle, 82°F — it'll pass.
82°F 70°F 32% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 82°F — it'll pass.
85°F 72°F 42% Overcast cloudy 7.3
Overcast, 85°F, light rain possible.
84°F 72°F 29% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 84°F — it'll pass.

How this week got its score

  • 3 forecast days: 2 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 1 overcast, 0 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 9.5 × 0.55 = 5.21
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 8.4 × 0.25 = 2.10 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 3/3 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
  • Best single day is 10.0 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to St. Augustine

The nearest airport we price is JAX. From New York City that is about 2h 08m in the air out of EWR, 821 miles. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in St. Augustine

3 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.

So, should you go?

St. Augustine scores 9.3 out of 10 and has 2 genuinely clear days out of 16. That holds up. Check the daily rows above for which specific days carry the sun, and price it from your own airport.

Frequently asked

Is it raining in St. Augustine this week?

No. The current 16-day forecast for St. Augustine shows no rain or storm days, peaking at 84% chance on the worst day. Cloud is not the dealbreaker here — rain is, and none is forecast.

How many clear days does St. Augustine have this week?

2. St. Augustine has 2 genuinely clear days out of the next 16.

Is St. Augustine good for a trip this week?

Yes. St. Augustine scores 9.3/10 with 2 genuinely clear days out of 16 — bright days outnumber dull ones.

St. Augustine by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

St. Augustine: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 9% n=248 all destinations →
February 22% n=226 all destinations →
March 25% n=248 all destinations →
April 42% n=240 all destinations →
May 40% n=248 all destinations →
June 14% n=240 all destinations →
July 9% n=248 all destinations →
August 6% n=248 all destinations →
September 17% n=240 all destinations →
October 34% n=248 all destinations →
November 23% n=240 all destinations →
December 13% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for St. Augustine in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-10-08T13:01:07.320349Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.