Skip to main content
SunnyDays

Arizona · PHX

Scottsdale weather this week

Scottsdale, Arizona Just your ID

Scottsdale scores 9.6 out of 10 and has 9 genuinely clear days out of 16.

9.6/10
Genuinely clear
9 genuinely clear days, 0 partly cloudy, 0 overcast, 0 wet, 0 stormy — out of 16 forecast days.
Bright days 9 vs dull days 0. Bright wins.
Our model tiers this window Perfect, and the clear-day count supports that.

9-day window, zero rain — Sunshine, day after day — 9 of 9 straight, 93°F

The next 16 days in Scottsdale

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (80%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Wed 14 Oct–Thu 22 Oct: 9.6/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (9.6) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Scottsdale daily forecast, Thu 8 Oct to Fri 23 Oct (16 days total). Best single day scores 10.0; worst scores 4.8. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
102°F 76°F 1% Clear clear 7.7
Clear skies, 102°F — aggressively sunny.
102°F 78°F 2% Light rain cloudy 5.3
Overcast, 102°F, toasty with a lid on.
91°F 80°F 61% Rain showers wet 5.2
Rain showers, 91°F — it'll pass.
86°F 76°F 80% Rain showers wet 4.8
Rain showers, 86°F — it'll pass.
87°F 75°F 56% Overcast cloudy 6.6
Overcast, 87°F, light rain possible.
79°F 71°F 37% Overcast cloudy 7.5
Overcast, 79°F, light rain possible.
76°F 68°F 14% Mainly clear clear 9.6
Clear skies, 76°F, zero drama.
79°F 70°F 6% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 79°F, zero drama.
82°F 72°F 4% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 82°F, zero drama.
82°F 69°F 3% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 82°F, zero drama.
84°F 71°F 1% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 84°F, zero drama.
89°F 71°F 3% Clear clear 9.8
Clear skies, 89°F — sunscreen is not optional.
93°F 76°F 3% Clear clear 9.2
Clear skies, 93°F — sunscreen is not optional.
93°F 77°F 10% Clear clear 9.2
Clear skies, 93°F — sunscreen is not optional.
93°F 77°F 14% Clear clear 9.1
Clear skies, 93°F — sunscreen is not optional.
91°F 76°F 16% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 91°F — it'll pass.

How this week got its score

  • 9 forecast days: 9 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 0 overcast, 0 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 9.7 × 0.55 = 5.33
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 9.1 × 0.25 = 2.27 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 9/9 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
  • Best single day is 10.0 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Scottsdale

The nearest airport we price is PHX. From New York City that is about 4h 45m in the air out of EWR, 2128 miles. Then about 10m to drive from PHX (est. 6 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: 4h 55m. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Scottsdale

15 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.

So, should you go?

Scottsdale scores 9.6 out of 10 and has 9 genuinely clear days out of 16. That holds up. Check the daily rows above for which specific days carry the sun, and price it from your own airport.

Frequently asked

Is it raining in Scottsdale this week?

No. The current 16-day forecast for Scottsdale shows no rain or storm days, peaking at 80% chance on the worst day. Cloud is not the dealbreaker here — rain is, and none is forecast.

How many clear days does Scottsdale have this week?

9. Scottsdale has 9 genuinely clear days out of the next 16.

Is Scottsdale good for a trip this week?

Yes. Scottsdale scores 9.6/10 with 9 genuinely clear days out of 16 — bright days outnumber dull ones.

Scottsdale by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Scottsdale: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 18% n=248 all destinations →
February 42% n=226 all destinations →
March 57% n=248 all destinations →
April 92% n=240 all destinations →
May 93% n=248 all destinations →
June 95% n=240 all destinations →
July 76% n=248 all destinations →
August 75% n=248 all destinations →
September 82% n=240 all destinations →
October 83% n=248 all destinations →
November 65% n=240 all destinations →
December 25% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Scottsdale in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-10-08T13:01:07.320349Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.