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SunnyDays

MX · PVR

Punta Mita weather this week

Punta Mita, MX Passport · Short hop

Punta Mita scores 7.3 out of 10 and has no genuinely clear day in the next 16.

7.3/10
No clear day
0 genuinely clear days, 0 partly cloudy, 2 overcast, 1 wet, 0 stormy — out of 16 forecast days.
Bright days 0 vs dull days 3. Dull wins, so we do not call this a good week.
We are not showing a flattering tier word here. Why the score and the sky can disagree.

The model gives this week 7.3 out of 10 because it is warm and largely rain-free, and those are the two things the score measures. It is not measuring sunshine. With 0 genuinely clear days and 3 dull ones, expect grey skies. We are showing you the number and the contradiction rather than only the number.

3-day window, 1.4% rain-affected — Warm, dry, and the sun never shows — zero clear days in 3, one rainy day

The next 16 days in Punta Mita

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (84%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Mon 12 Oct–Wed 14 Oct: 7.3/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (7.3) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Punta Mita daily forecast, Thu 8 Oct to Fri 23 Oct (16 days total). Best single day scores 8.4; worst scores 4.0. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
88°F 76°F 63% Thunderstorm storm 4.0
Thunderstorms, 88°F — Mother Nature has opinions.
87°F 78°F 84% Thunderstorm storm 4.0
Thunderstorms, 87°F — Mother Nature has opinions.
87°F 78°F 78% Thunderstorm storm 4.0
Thunderstorms, 87°F — Mother Nature has opinions.
82°F 77°F 78% Thunderstorm storm 4.0
Thunderstorms, 82°F — Mother Nature has opinions.
88°F 79°F 39% Light drizzle wet 6.7
Light drizzle, 88°F — it'll pass.
86°F 78°F 14% Overcast cloudy 8.4
Overcast, 86°F, dry as a bone.
87°F 79°F 14% Overcast cloudy 8.4
Overcast, 87°F, dry as a bone.
87°F 78°F 27% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 87°F — it'll pass.
85°F 78°F 25% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 85°F — it'll pass.
86°F 79°F 29% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 86°F — it'll pass.
86°F 81°F 25% Overcast cloudy 8.0
Overcast, 86°F, light rain possible.
86°F 79°F 20% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 86°F — it'll pass.
85°F 79°F 19% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 85°F — it'll pass.
81°F 79°F 32% Rain showers wet 6.6
Rain showers, 81°F — it'll pass.
86°F 77°F 33% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 86°F — it'll pass.
84°F 80°F 15% Thunderstorm storm 4.0
Thunderstorms, 84°F — Mother Nature has opinions.

How this week got its score

  • 3 forecast days: 0 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 2 overcast, 1 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 7.8 × 0.55 = 4.31
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 6.7 × 0.25 = 1.68 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 2/3 = 67% coverage × 0.20 = 1.33
  • Best single day is 8.4 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Punta Mita

The nearest airport we price is PVR. From New York City that is about 5h 04m in the air out of EWR, 2287 miles. Then about 30m to drive from PVR (est. 19 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: 5h 34m. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Punta Mita

We hold no live hotel rates for Punta Mita right now, so there is nothing honest to show here. Rates return as soon as the supplier does — the refresh state is on system status.

So, should you go?

Punta Mita scores 7.3 out of 10 and has no genuinely clear day in the next 16. If sunshine is the reason you are travelling, pick somewhere else this week — the full list is sorted by genuinely clear days, so the top of it is where to look.

Frequently asked

Is it raining in Punta Mita this week?

Partly. 1 of the next 16 day in Punta Mita are forecast wet or stormy, peaking at 84% chance on the worst day — the rest are dry, whatever the cloud cover.

How many clear days does Punta Mita have this week?

Zero. Punta Mita has no genuinely clear day in the next 16.

Is Punta Mita good for a trip this week?

Not for the sun. Punta Mita scores 7.3/10 this week, but that score measures warmth and dryness, not sunshine — there is no genuinely clear day in the forecast.

Punta Mita by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Punta Mita: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 84% n=248 all destinations →
February 88% n=226 all destinations →
March 97% n=248 all destinations →
April 97% n=240 all destinations →
May 92% n=248 all destinations →
June 37% n=240 all destinations →
July 16% n=248 all destinations →
August 6% n=248 all destinations →
September 6% n=240 all destinations →
October 26% n=248 all destinations →
November 76% n=240 all destinations →
December 88% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Punta Mita in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-10-08T14:01:11.915538Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.