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SunnyDays

Arizona · PHX

Phoenix weather this week

Phoenix, Arizona Just your ID

Phoenix scores 9.1 out of 10 and has 9 genuinely clear days out of 16.

9.1/10
Genuinely clear
9 genuinely clear days, 0 partly cloudy, 0 overcast, 1 wet, 0 stormy — out of 16 forecast days.
Bright days 9 vs dull days 1. Bright wins.
Our model tiers this window Perfect, and the clear-day count supports that.

10-day window, 0.9% rain-affected — Sunshine, day after day — 10-days run, 9 genuinely clear, 94°F

The next 16 days in Phoenix

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (75%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Wed 14 Oct–Fri 23 Oct: 9.1/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (9.1) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Phoenix daily forecast, Thu 8 Oct to Fri 23 Oct (16 days total). Best single day scores 10.0; worst scores 4.7. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
103°F 78°F 1% Clear clear 7.6
Clear skies, 103°F — aggressively sunny.
103°F 76°F 2% Heavy drizzle cloudy 5.1
Overcast, 103°F, toasty with a lid on.
92°F 81°F 59% Rain showers wet 5.0
Rain showers, 92°F — it'll pass.
85°F 77°F 75% Heavy drizzle wet 4.7
Heavy drizzle, 85°F — it'll pass.
88°F 76°F 51% Partly cloudy partly 7.7
Partly cloudy, 88°F, with a sprinkle or two.
80°F 71°F 34% Overcast cloudy 7.6
Overcast, 80°F, light rain possible.
76°F 68°F 11% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 76°F, zero drama.
80°F 71°F 5% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 80°F, zero drama.
83°F 74°F 4% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 83°F, zero drama.
82°F 71°F 2% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 82°F, zero drama.
85°F 72°F 1% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 85°F, zero drama.
89°F 73°F 3% Clear clear 9.8
Clear skies, 89°F — sunscreen is not optional.
93°F 78°F 3% Clear clear 9.2
Clear skies, 93°F — sunscreen is not optional.
94°F 79°F 10% Clear clear 9.1
Clear skies, 94°F — sunscreen is not optional.
93°F 79°F 14% Clear clear 9.0
Clear skies, 93°F — sunscreen is not optional.
92°F 78°F 16% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 92°F — it'll pass.

How this week got its score

  • 10 forecast days: 9 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 0 overcast, 1 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 9.6 × 0.55 = 5.30
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 7.0 × 0.25 = 1.75 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 10/10 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
  • Best single day is 10.0 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Phoenix

The nearest airport we price is PHX. From New York City that is about 4h 45m in the air out of EWR, 2128 miles. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Phoenix

15 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.

So, should you go?

Phoenix scores 9.1 out of 10 and has 9 genuinely clear days out of 16. That holds up. Check the daily rows above for which specific days carry the sun, and price it from your own airport.

Frequently asked

Is it raining in Phoenix this week?

Partly. 1 of the next 16 day in Phoenix are forecast wet or stormy, peaking at 75% chance on the worst day — the rest are dry, whatever the cloud cover.

How many clear days does Phoenix have this week?

9. Phoenix has 9 genuinely clear days out of the next 16.

Is Phoenix good for a trip this week?

Yes. Phoenix scores 9.1/10 with 9 genuinely clear days out of 16 — bright days outnumber dull ones.

Phoenix by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Phoenix: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 17% n=248 all destinations →
February 41% n=226 all destinations →
March 61% n=248 all destinations →
April 94% n=240 all destinations →
May 95% n=248 all destinations →
June 94% n=240 all destinations →
July 76% n=248 all destinations →
August 76% n=248 all destinations →
September 82% n=240 all destinations →
October 85% n=248 all destinations →
November 63% n=240 all destinations →
December 22% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Phoenix in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-10-08T13:01:07.320349Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.