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SunnyDays

Florida · ECP

Panama City Beach weather this week

Panama City Beach, Florida

Panama City Beach scores 8.5 out of 10 and has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 7. Dull days (6) still outnumber bright ones (1), so this is not a good week.

8.5/10
Mostly dull
<built-in method clear of dict object at 0x737eee3e9200> genuinely clear days, 0 partly cloudy, 6 overcast, 0 wet, 0 stormy — out of 7 forecast days.
Bright days 1 vs dull days 6. Dull wins, so we do not call this a good week.
We are not showing a flattering tier word here. Why the score and the sky can disagree.

The model gives this week 8.5 out of 10 because it is warm and largely rain-free, and those are the two things the score measures. It is not measuring sunshine. With 1 genuinely clear day and 6 dull ones, expect grey skies. We are showing you the number and the contradiction rather than only the number.

1 clear of 7 days · best run 7 days — The clouds are winning — 1 clear day out of 7

The next 7 days in Panama City Beach

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 7 days (16%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Sun 9 Aug–Tue 11 Aug: 8.4/10 for those days alone. The 7-day outlook score (8.5) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Panama City Beach daily forecast, Sun 9 Aug to Sat 15 Aug (7 days total). Best single day scores 9.5; worst scores 7.9. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
92°F 78°F 11% Overcast cloudy 7.9
Cloudy and dry
90°F 78°F 4% Overcast cloudy 8.2
Cloudy but warm & dry
89°F 82°F 5% Overcast cloudy 8.3
Cloudy but warm & dry
89°F 83°F 16% Mainly clear clear 9.5
Clear but hot (89°F)
89°F 83°F 16% Overcast cloudy 8.2
Cloudy but warm & dry
89°F 82°F 7% Overcast cloudy 8.4
Cloudy but warm & dry
90°F 82°F 9% Overcast cloudy 8.1
Cloudy but warm & dry

How this week got its score

  • 7 forecast days: 1 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 6 overcast, 0 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 8.2 × 0.55 = 4.53
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 7.9 × 0.25 = 1.98 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 7/7 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
  • Best single day is 9.5 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
  • Advertised 3-day window (2026-08-09→2026-08-11) scores 8.4 on its own.
  • Legacy gate counted 7/7 days as "perfect sun"; this model counts 1 genuinely clear.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Panama City Beach

The nearest airport we price is ECP. From New York City that is about 2h 26m in the air out of EWR, 966 miles. Then about 19m to drive from ECP (est. 12 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: 2h 45m. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Panama City Beach

1 property we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.

So, should you go?

Panama City Beach scores 8.5 out of 10 and has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 7. Dull days (6) still outnumber bright ones (1), so this is not a good week. There is some sun in this window, but not much. Compare it against the rest of the list before booking.

Panama City Beach by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Panama City Beach: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 1% n=248 all destinations →
February 4% n=226 all destinations →
March 13% n=248 all destinations →
April 45% n=240 all destinations →
May 43% n=248 all destinations →
June 18% n=240 all destinations →
July 9% n=248 all destinations →
August 11% n=248 all destinations →
September 35% n=240 all destinations →
October 52% n=248 all destinations →
November 26% n=240 all destinations →
December 4% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Panama City Beach in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-08-09T05:01:05.311896Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.