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Tennessee · BNA

Nashville weather this week

Nashville, Tennessee Just your ID

Nashville scores 8.2 out of 10 and has no genuinely clear day in the next 16.

8.2/10
No clear day
0 genuinely clear days, 0 partly cloudy, 6 overcast, 1 wet, 0 stormy — out of 16 forecast days.
Bright days 0 vs dull days 7. Dull wins, so we do not call this a good week.
We are not showing a flattering tier word here. Why the score and the sky can disagree.

The model gives this week 8.2 out of 10 because it is warm and largely rain-free, and those are the two things the score measures. It is not measuring sunshine. With 0 genuinely clear days and 7 dull ones, expect grey skies. We are showing you the number and the contradiction rather than only the number.

7-day window, 0.9% rain-affected — Warm, dry, and the sun never shows — zero clear days in 7, one rainy day

The next 16 days in Nashville

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (82%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Sat 17 Oct–Fri 23 Oct: 8.2/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (8.2) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Nashville daily forecast, Thu 8 Oct to Fri 23 Oct (16 days total). Best single day scores 9.8; worst scores 3.8. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
87°F 56°F 0% Partly cloudy partly 9.3
Partly cloudy, 87°F, not a drop of rain.
90°F 55°F 1% Overcast cloudy 8.2
Overcast, 90°F, dry as a bone.
71°F 60°F 82% Rain showers wet 4.4
Rain showers, 71°F — it'll pass.
65°F 62°F 82% Drizzle wet 3.8
Drizzle, 65°F — it'll pass.
86°F 61°F 7% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 86°F, dry as a bone.
89°F 66°F 6% Clear clear 9.8
Clear skies, 89°F — sunscreen is not optional.
91°F 70°F 7% Overcast cloudy 8.0
Overcast, 91°F, toasty with a lid on.
90°F 71°F 7% Mainly clear clear 9.4
Clear skies, 90°F — sunscreen is not optional.
90°F 71°F 29% Mainly clear clear 8.8
Clear skies, 90°F — sunscreen is not optional.
74°F 60°F 16% Overcast cloudy 8.3
Overcast, 74°F, dry as a bone.
72°F 53°F 16% Overcast cloudy 8.3
Overcast, 72°F, dry as a bone.
74°F 60°F 23% Overcast cloudy 8.1
Overcast, 74°F, light rain possible.
73°F 59°F 7% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 73°F, dry as a bone.
77°F 64°F 10% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 77°F, dry as a bone.
73°F 62°F 19% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 73°F — it'll pass.
72°F 58°F 13% Light drizzle cloudy 7.0
Overcast, 72°F, dry as a bone.

How this week got its score

  • 7 forecast days: 0 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 6 overcast, 1 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 8.0 × 0.55 = 4.42
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 7.0 × 0.25 = 1.75 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 7/7 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
  • Best single day is 8.5 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Nashville

The nearest airport we price is BNA. From New York City that is about 2h 00m in the air out of EWR, 746 miles. Then about 10m to drive from BNA (est. 6 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: 2h 10m. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Nashville

15 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.

So, should you go?

Nashville scores 8.2 out of 10 and has no genuinely clear day in the next 16. If sunshine is the reason you are travelling, pick somewhere else this week — the full list is sorted by genuinely clear days, so the top of it is where to look.

Frequently asked

Is it raining in Nashville this week?

Partly. 1 of the next 16 day in Nashville are forecast wet or stormy, peaking at 82% chance on the worst day — the rest are dry, whatever the cloud cover.

How many clear days does Nashville have this week?

Zero. Nashville has no genuinely clear day in the next 16.

Is Nashville good for a trip this week?

Not for the sun. Nashville scores 8.2/10 this week, but that score measures warmth and dryness, not sunshine — there is no genuinely clear day in the forecast.

Nashville by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Nashville: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 0% n=248 all destinations →
February 1% n=226 all destinations →
March 8% n=248 all destinations →
April 18% n=240 all destinations →
May 28% n=248 all destinations →
June 30% n=240 all destinations →
July 19% n=248 all destinations →
August 32% n=248 all destinations →
September 48% n=240 all destinations →
October 32% n=248 all destinations →
November 6% n=240 all destinations →
December 0% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Nashville in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-10-08T13:01:07.320349Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.