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SunnyDays

Florida · MIA

Miami weather this week

Miami, Florida Just your ID

Miami scores 8.6 out of 10 and has 2 genuinely clear days out of 16.

8.6/10
Partly clear
2 genuinely clear days, 0 partly cloudy, 0 overcast, 1 wet, 0 stormy — out of 16 forecast days.
Bright days 2 vs dull days 1. Bright wins.
Our model tiers this window Excellent, and the clear-day count supports that.

3-day window, 4.2% rain-affected — Sunshine, day after day — 3-days run, 2 genuinely clear, 87°F

The next 16 days in Miami

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (67%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Mon 12 Oct–Wed 14 Oct: 8.6/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (8.6) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Miami daily forecast, Thu 8 Oct to Fri 23 Oct (16 days total). Best single day scores 9.9; worst scores 4.0. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
86°F 76°F 17% Overcast cloudy 8.3
Overcast, 86°F, dry as a bone.
85°F 77°F 21% Violent showers wet 4.0
Violent showers, 85°F — it'll pass.
88°F 79°F 45% Drizzle wet 6.2
Drizzle, 88°F — it'll pass.
87°F 84°F 17% Thunderstorm storm 4.0
Thunderstorms, 87°F — Mother Nature has opinions.
87°F 83°F 16% Mainly clear clear 9.6
Clear skies, 87°F, zero drama.
85°F 82°F 20% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 85°F — it'll pass.
84°F 81°F 14% Clear clear 9.9
Clear skies, 84°F, zero drama.
85°F 80°F 19% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 85°F — it'll pass.
85°F 81°F 31% Drizzle wet 6.2
Drizzle, 85°F — it'll pass.
85°F 82°F 26% Drizzle wet 6.2
Drizzle, 85°F — it'll pass.
85°F 81°F 40% Drizzle wet 6.2
Drizzle, 85°F — it'll pass.
82°F 80°F 55% Heavy drizzle wet 5.4
Heavy drizzle, 82°F — it'll pass.
83°F 79°F 67% Light drizzle wet 5.5
Light drizzle, 83°F — it'll pass.
83°F 80°F 55% Drizzle wet 5.9
Drizzle, 83°F — it'll pass.
84°F 80°F 55% Light drizzle wet 6.0
Light drizzle, 84°F — it'll pass.
85°F 81°F 42% Light drizzle wet 6.6
Light drizzle, 85°F — it'll pass.

How this week got its score

  • 3 forecast days: 2 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 0 overcast, 1 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 8.8 × 0.55 = 4.86
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 7.0 × 0.25 = 1.75 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 3/3 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
  • Best single day is 9.9 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Miami

The nearest airport we price is MIA. From New York City that is about 2h 40m in the air out of EWR, 1087 miles. Then about 10m to drive from MIA (est. 6 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: 2h 50m. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Miami

We hold no live hotel rates for Miami right now, so there is nothing honest to show here. Rates return as soon as the supplier does — the refresh state is on system status.

So, should you go?

Miami scores 8.6 out of 10 and has 2 genuinely clear days out of 16. That holds up. Check the daily rows above for which specific days carry the sun, and price it from your own airport.

Frequently asked

Is it raining in Miami this week?

Partly. 1 of the next 16 day in Miami are forecast wet or stormy, peaking at 67% chance on the worst day — the rest are dry, whatever the cloud cover.

How many clear days does Miami have this week?

2. Miami has 2 genuinely clear days out of the next 16.

Is Miami good for a trip this week?

Yes. Miami scores 8.6/10 with 2 genuinely clear days out of 16 — bright days outnumber dull ones.

Miami by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Miami: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 28% n=248 all destinations →
February 26% n=226 all destinations →
March 32% n=248 all destinations →
April 27% n=240 all destinations →
May 20% n=248 all destinations →
June 2% n=240 all destinations →
July 6% n=248 all destinations →
August 2% n=248 all destinations →
September 4% n=240 all destinations →
October 11% n=248 all destinations →
November 25% n=240 all destinations →
December 28% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Miami in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-10-08T15:00:29.460657Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.