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SunnyDays

Tennessee · MEM

Memphis weather this week

Memphis, Tennessee Just your ID

Memphis scores 7.6 out of 10 and has 2 genuinely clear days out of 16.

7.6/10
Partly clear
2 genuinely clear days, 1 partly cloudy, 1 overcast, 1 wet, 0 stormy — out of 16 forecast days.
Bright days 3 vs dull days 2. Bright wins.
Our model tiers this window Good, and the clear-day count supports that.

5-day window, 2.3% rain-affected — Sunshine, day after day — 4-days run, 2 genuinely clear, 1 partly cloudy, 94°F

The next 16 days in Memphis

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (90%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Sun 11 Oct–Thu 15 Oct: 7.6/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (7.6) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Memphis daily forecast, Thu 8 Oct to Fri 23 Oct (16 days total). Best single day scores 10.0; worst scores 4.3. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
88°F 58°F 0% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 88°F, zero drama.
91°F 61°F 1% Clear clear 9.5
Clear skies, 91°F — sunscreen is not optional.
74°F 62°F 90% Rain wet 4.3
Rain, 74°F — it'll pass.
82°F 64°F 72% Light drizzle wet 5.2
Light drizzle, 82°F — it'll pass.
90°F 68°F 1% Clear clear 9.7
Clear skies, 90°F — sunscreen is not optional.
92°F 71°F 4% Overcast cloudy 7.9
Overcast, 92°F, toasty with a lid on.
93°F 75°F 3% Partly cloudy partly 8.6
Partly cloudy, 93°F, not a drop of rain.
94°F 78°F 8% Mainly clear clear 8.9
Clear skies, 94°F — sunscreen is not optional.
91°F 74°F 25% Clear clear 8.9
Clear skies, 91°F — sunscreen is not optional.
78°F 61°F 17% Clear clear 9.8
Clear skies, 78°F, zero drama.
82°F 57°F 10% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 82°F, dry as a bone.
80°F 65°F 16% Overcast cloudy 8.3
Overcast, 80°F, dry as a bone.
71°F 67°F 10% Overcast cloudy 8.3
Overcast, 71°F, dry as a bone.
74°F 66°F 6% Light drizzle cloudy 7.0
Overcast, 74°F, dry as a bone.
70°F 63°F 12% Overcast cloudy 8.1
Overcast, 70°F, dry as a bone.
76°F 57°F 13% Overcast cloudy 8.4
Overcast, 76°F, dry as a bone.

How this week got its score

  • 5 forecast days: 2 clear/mainly clear, 1 partly cloudy, 1 overcast, 1 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 8.5 × 0.55 = 4.66
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 5.2 × 0.25 = 1.30 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 4/5 = 80% coverage × 0.20 = 1.60
  • Best single day is 9.7 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Memphis

The nearest airport we price is MEM. From New York City that is about 2h 23m in the air out of EWR, 944 miles. Then about 13m to drive from MEM (est. 8 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: 2h 36m. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Memphis

15 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.

So, should you go?

Memphis scores 7.6 out of 10 and has 2 genuinely clear days out of 16. That holds up. Check the daily rows above for which specific days carry the sun, and price it from your own airport.

Frequently asked

Is it raining in Memphis this week?

Partly. 1 of the next 16 day in Memphis are forecast wet or stormy, peaking at 90% chance on the worst day — the rest are dry, whatever the cloud cover.

How many clear days does Memphis have this week?

2. Memphis has 2 genuinely clear days out of the next 16.

Is Memphis good for a trip this week?

Yes. Memphis scores 7.6/10 with 2 genuinely clear days out of 16 — bright days outnumber dull ones.

Memphis by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Memphis: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 0% n=248 all destinations →
February 1% n=226 all destinations →
March 8% n=248 all destinations →
April 20% n=240 all destinations →
May 32% n=248 all destinations →
June 38% n=240 all destinations →
July 33% n=248 all destinations →
August 42% n=248 all destinations →
September 58% n=240 all destinations →
October 45% n=248 all destinations →
November 8% n=240 all destinations →
December 1% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Memphis in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-10-08T13:01:07.320349Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.