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SunnyDays

ES · AGP

Málaga / Costa del Sol weather this week

Málaga / Costa del Sol, ES Passport worthy

Málaga / Costa del Sol scores 8.6 out of 10 and has no genuinely clear day in the next 16.

8.6/10
No clear day
0 genuinely clear days, 3 partly cloudy, 6 overcast, 0 wet, 0 stormy — out of 16 forecast days.
Bright days 3 vs dull days 6. Dull wins, so we do not call this a good week.
We are not showing a flattering tier word here. Why the score and the sky can disagree.

The model gives this week 8.6 out of 10 because it is warm and largely rain-free, and those are the two things the score measures. It is not measuring sunshine. With 0 genuinely clear days and 6 dull ones, expect grey skies. We are showing you the number and the contradiction rather than only the number.

9-day window, 1.0% rain-affected — Glimpses of sun but no clear sky — 3 partly cloudy days, cool (81°F)

The next 16 days in Málaga / Costa del Sol

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (20%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Thu 8 Oct–Fri 16 Oct: 8.6/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (8.6) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Málaga / Costa del Sol daily forecast, Thu 8 Oct to Fri 23 Oct (16 days total). Best single day scores 9.9; worst scores 5.4. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
81°F 66°F 0% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 81°F, dry as a bone.
76°F 62°F 3% Partly cloudy partly 9.3
Partly cloudy, 76°F, not a drop of rain.
76°F 65°F 5% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 76°F, dry as a bone.
75°F 63°F 3% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 75°F, dry as a bone.
78°F 62°F 0% Partly cloudy partly 9.3
Partly cloudy, 78°F, not a drop of rain.
78°F 60°F 0% Partly cloudy partly 9.3
Partly cloudy, 78°F, not a drop of rain.
77°F 59°F 0% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 77°F, dry as a bone.
77°F 60°F 2% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 77°F, dry as a bone.
78°F 63°F 12% Light drizzle cloudy 7.0
Overcast, 78°F, dry as a bone.
74°F 65°F 20% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 74°F — it'll pass.
72°F 57°F 13% Light drizzle cloudy 7.0
Overcast, 72°F, dry as a bone.
64°F 56°F 14% Heavy drizzle cloudy 5.4
Overcast, 64°F, toasty with a lid on.
62°F 55°F 20% Heavy drizzle wet 5.4
Heavy drizzle, 62°F — it'll pass.
68°F 53°F 13% Mainly clear clear 9.1
Clear skies, 68°F — pack a layer.
73°F 55°F 12% Clear clear 9.9
Clear skies, 73°F, zero drama.
79°F 64°F 9% Light drizzle cloudy 7.0
Overcast, 79°F, dry as a bone.

How this week got its score

  • 9 forecast days: 0 clear/mainly clear, 3 partly cloudy, 6 overcast, 0 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 8.7 × 0.55 = 4.80
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 7.0 × 0.25 = 1.75 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 9/9 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
  • Best single day is 9.3 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Málaga / Costa del Sol

The nearest airport we price is AGP. From New York City that is about 7h 43m in the air out of ISP, 3612 miles. Then about 8m to drive from AGP (est. 5 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: 7h 51m. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Málaga / Costa del Sol

15 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.

So, should you go?

Málaga / Costa del Sol scores 8.6 out of 10 and has no genuinely clear day in the next 16. If sunshine is the reason you are travelling, pick somewhere else this week — the full list is sorted by genuinely clear days, so the top of it is where to look.

Frequently asked

Is it raining in Málaga / Costa del Sol this week?

No. The current 16-day forecast for Málaga / Costa del Sol shows no rain or storm days, peaking at 20% chance on the worst day. Cloud is not the dealbreaker here — rain is, and none is forecast.

How many clear days does Málaga / Costa del Sol have this week?

Zero. Málaga / Costa del Sol has no genuinely clear day in the next 16.

Is Málaga / Costa del Sol good for a trip this week?

Not for the sun. Málaga / Costa del Sol scores 8.6/10 this week, but that score measures warmth and dryness, not sunshine — there is no genuinely clear day in the forecast.

Málaga / Costa del Sol by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Málaga / Costa del Sol: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 4% n=248 all destinations →
February 7% n=226 all destinations →
March 14% n=248 all destinations →
April 24% n=240 all destinations →
May 67% n=248 all destinations →
June 86% n=240 all destinations →
July 95% n=248 all destinations →
August 88% n=248 all destinations →
September 72% n=240 all destinations →
October 61% n=248 all destinations →
November 20% n=240 all destinations →
December 3% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Málaga / Costa del Sol in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-10-08T13:01:07.320349Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.