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SunnyDays

ES · MAD

Madrid weather this week

Madrid, ES Passport worthy

Madrid scores 8.4 out of 10 and has no genuinely clear day in the next 16.

8.4/10
No clear day
0 genuinely clear days, 1 partly cloudy, 5 overcast, 0 wet, 0 stormy — out of 16 forecast days.
Bright days 1 vs dull days 5. Dull wins, so we do not call this a good week.
We are not showing a flattering tier word here. Why the score and the sky can disagree.

The model gives this week 8.4 out of 10 because it is warm and largely rain-free, and those are the two things the score measures. It is not measuring sunshine. With 0 genuinely clear days and 5 dull ones, expect grey skies. We are showing you the number and the contradiction rather than only the number.

6-day window, 1.6% rain-affected — Glimpses of sun but no clear sky — 1 partly cloudy day, cool (78°F)

The next 16 days in Madrid

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (12%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Sat 10 Oct–Thu 15 Oct: 8.4/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (8.4) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Madrid daily forecast, Thu 8 Oct to Fri 23 Oct (16 days total). Best single day scores 9.3; worst scores 5.3. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
68°F 55°F 3% Overcast cloudy 8.0
Overcast, 68°F, toasty with a lid on.
68°F 45°F 0% Overcast cloudy 8.1
Overcast, 68°F, toasty with a lid on.
74°F 48°F 0% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 74°F, dry as a bone.
74°F 52°F 0% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 74°F, dry as a bone.
76°F 54°F 0% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 76°F, dry as a bone.
77°F 56°F 0% Partly cloudy partly 9.3
Partly cloudy, 77°F, not a drop of rain.
78°F 59°F 0% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 78°F, dry as a bone.
76°F 61°F 1% Light drizzle cloudy 7.0
Overcast, 76°F, dry as a bone.
70°F 59°F 4% Drizzle cloudy 6.2
Overcast, 70°F, dry as a bone.
63°F 44°F 5% Partly cloudy partly 8.3
Partly cloudy, 63°F, not a drop of rain.
58°F 48°F 6% Overcast cloudy 6.8
Overcast, 58°F, toasty with a lid on.
54°F 44°F 8% Heavy drizzle cloudy 5.3
Overcast, 54°F, toasty with a lid on.
59°F 44°F 6% Heavy drizzle cloudy 5.4
Overcast, 59°F, toasty with a lid on.
58°F 45°F 12% Overcast cloudy 6.7
Overcast, 58°F, toasty with a lid on.
63°F 51°F 12% Overcast cloudy 7.4
Overcast, 63°F, toasty with a lid on.
66°F 57°F 8% Light drizzle cloudy 7.0
Overcast, 66°F, toasty with a lid on.

How this week got its score

  • 6 forecast days: 0 clear/mainly clear, 1 partly cloudy, 5 overcast, 0 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 8.5 × 0.55 = 4.68
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 7.0 × 0.25 = 1.75 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 6/6 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
  • Best single day is 9.3 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Madrid

The nearest airport we price is MAD. From New York City that is about 7h 35m in the air out of ISP, 3543 miles. Then about 14m to drive from MAD (est. 9 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: 7h 49m. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Madrid

15 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.

So, should you go?

Madrid scores 8.4 out of 10 and has no genuinely clear day in the next 16. If sunshine is the reason you are travelling, pick somewhere else this week — the full list is sorted by genuinely clear days, so the top of it is where to look.

Frequently asked

Is it raining in Madrid this week?

No. The current 16-day forecast for Madrid shows no rain or storm days, peaking at 12% chance on the worst day. Cloud is not the dealbreaker here — rain is, and none is forecast.

How many clear days does Madrid have this week?

Zero. Madrid has no genuinely clear day in the next 16.

Is Madrid good for a trip this week?

Not for the sun. Madrid scores 8.4/10 this week, but that score measures warmth and dryness, not sunshine — there is no genuinely clear day in the forecast.

Madrid by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Madrid: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 0% n=248 all destinations →
February 0% n=226 all destinations →
March 9% n=248 all destinations →
April 20% n=240 all destinations →
May 51% n=248 all destinations →
June 67% n=240 all destinations →
July 91% n=248 all destinations →
August 88% n=248 all destinations →
September 62% n=240 all destinations →
October 38% n=248 all destinations →
November 0% n=240 all destinations →
December 0% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Madrid in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-10-08T13:01:07.320349Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.