MX · SJD
Los Cabos weather this week
Passport · Short hop
Los Cabos scores 9.0 out of 10 and has no genuinely clear day in the next 16.
The model gives this week 9.0 out of 10 because it is warm and largely rain-free, and those are the two things the score measures. It is not measuring sunshine. With 0 genuinely clear days and 1 dull one, expect grey skies. We are showing you the number and the contradiction rather than only the number.
3-day window, zero rain — Glimpses of sun but no clear sky — 2 partly cloudy days, mild (89°F)
The next 16 days in Los Cabos
Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (80%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.
Booking window Tue 13 Oct–Thu 15 Oct: 9.0/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (9.0) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.
| Day | High | Low | Rain chance | Sky | Day score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91°F | 79°F | 64% | Thunderstorm storm | 4.0 Thunderstorms, 91°F — Mother Nature has opinions. |
|
| 92°F | 80°F | 80% | Heavy drizzle wet | 3.9 Heavy drizzle, 92°F — it'll pass. |
|
| 90°F | 79°F | 71% | Thunderstorm storm | 4.0 Thunderstorms, 90°F — Mother Nature has opinions. |
|
| 88°F | 78°F | 29% | Overcast cloudy | 7.8 Overcast, 88°F, light rain possible. |
|
| 86°F | 78°F | 33% | Overcast cloudy | 7.7 Overcast, 86°F, light rain possible. |
|
| 89°F | 75°F | 17% | Overcast cloudy | 8.2 Overcast, 89°F, dry as a bone. |
|
| 87°F | 71°F | 2% | Partly cloudy partly | 9.3 Partly cloudy, 87°F, not a drop of rain. |
|
| 87°F | 72°F | 5% | Partly cloudy partly | 9.3 Partly cloudy, 87°F, not a drop of rain. |
|
| 86°F | 72°F | 6% | Light drizzle cloudy | 7.0 Overcast, 86°F, dry as a bone. |
|
| 88°F | 72°F | 6% | Partly cloudy partly | 9.3 Partly cloudy, 88°F, not a drop of rain. |
|
| 88°F | 73°F | 25% | Partly cloudy partly | 8.8 Partly cloudy, 88°F, with a sprinkle or two. |
|
| 89°F | 71°F | 39% | Clear clear | 8.7 Clear skies, 89°F — sunscreen is not optional. |
|
| 90°F | 73°F | 27% | Clear clear | 9.1 Clear skies, 90°F — sunscreen is not optional. |
|
| 91°F | 74°F | 20% | Clear clear | 9.2 Clear skies, 91°F — sunscreen is not optional. |
|
| 93°F | 74°F | 31% | Clear clear | 8.5 Clear skies, 93°F — sunscreen is not optional. |
|
| 88°F | 72°F | 9% | Clear clear | 9.9 Clear skies, 88°F, zero drama. |
How this week got its score
- 3 forecast days: 0 clear/mainly clear, 2 partly cloudy, 1 overcast, 0 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
- Trimmed mean of day scores 8.9 × 0.55 = 4.91
- Worst day drag: worst day is 8.2 × 0.25 = 2.05 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
- Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 3/3 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
- Best single day is 9.3 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.
Getting to Los Cabos
The nearest airport we price is SJD. From New York City that is about 5h 17m in the air out of EWR, 2388 miles. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.
Where to stay in Los Cabos
We hold no live hotel rates for Los Cabos right now, so there is nothing honest to show here. Rates return as soon as the supplier does — the refresh state is on system status.
So, should you go?
Los Cabos scores 9.0 out of 10 and has no genuinely clear day in the next 16. If sunshine is the reason you are travelling, pick somewhere else this week — the full list is sorted by genuinely clear days, so the top of it is where to look.
Frequently asked
Is it raining in Los Cabos this week?
No. The current 16-day forecast for Los Cabos shows no rain or storm days, peaking at 80% chance on the worst day. Cloud is not the dealbreaker here — rain is, and none is forecast.
How many clear days does Los Cabos have this week?
Zero. Los Cabos has no genuinely clear day in the next 16.
Is Los Cabos good for a trip this week?
Not for the sun. Los Cabos scores 9.0/10 this week, but that score measures warmth and dryness, not sunshine — there is no genuinely clear day in the forecast.
Los Cabos by month — 8-year ERA5 history
Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.
| Month | Historically clear | Sample (n) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 91% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| February | 88% | n=226 | all destinations → |
| March | 98% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| April | 99% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| May | 98% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| June | 92% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| July | 85% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| August | 55% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| September | 51% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| October | 80% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| November | 88% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| December | 89% | n=248 | all destinations → |
Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Los Cabos in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.
Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-10-08T13:01:07.320349Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.