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Florida · JAX

Jacksonville weather this week

Jacksonville, Florida Just your ID

Jacksonville scores 8.9 out of 10 and has 3 genuinely clear days out of 16. Dull days (3) still outnumber bright ones (3), so this is not a good week.

8.9/10
Mostly dull
3 genuinely clear days, 0 partly cloudy, 3 overcast, 0 wet, 0 stormy — out of 16 forecast days.
Bright days 3 vs dull days 3. Dull wins, so we do not call this a good week.
We are not showing a flattering tier word here. Why the score and the sky can disagree.

6-day window, zero rain — The clouds are winning — 3 clear days out of 6, 94°F

The next 16 days in Jacksonville

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (79%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Mon 12 Oct–Sat 17 Oct: 8.9/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (8.9) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Jacksonville daily forecast, Thu 8 Oct to Fri 23 Oct (16 days total). Best single day scores 9.5; worst scores 3.9. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
80°F 75°F 37% Heavy drizzle wet 5.4
Heavy drizzle, 80°F — it'll pass.
79°F 72°F 71% Rain showers wet 5.2
Rain showers, 79°F — it'll pass.
90°F 75°F 79% Thunderstorm storm 3.9
Thunderstorms, 90°F — Mother Nature has opinions.
88°F 76°F 59% Light drizzle wet 5.8
Light drizzle, 88°F — it'll pass.
90°F 69°F 9% Overcast cloudy 8.2
Overcast, 90°F, dry as a bone.
91°F 70°F 1% Clear clear 9.5
Clear skies, 91°F — sunscreen is not optional.
94°F 72°F 5% Clear clear 9.0
Clear skies, 94°F — sunscreen is not optional.
90°F 74°F 7% Mainly clear clear 9.5
Clear skies, 90°F — sunscreen is not optional.
85°F 75°F 10% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 85°F, dry as a bone.
88°F 77°F 15% Overcast cloudy 8.3
Overcast, 88°F, dry as a bone.
78°F 73°F 19% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 78°F — it'll pass.
78°F 73°F 31% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 78°F — it'll pass.
85°F 72°F 32% Drizzle wet 6.2
Drizzle, 85°F — it'll pass.
84°F 71°F 35% Light drizzle wet 6.9
Light drizzle, 84°F — it'll pass.
86°F 74°F 39% Overcast cloudy 7.4
Overcast, 86°F, light rain possible.
87°F 73°F 32% Light drizzle wet 7.0
Light drizzle, 87°F — it'll pass.

How this week got its score

  • 6 forecast days: 3 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 3 overcast, 0 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 8.8 × 0.55 = 4.85
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 8.2 × 0.25 = 2.05 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 6/6 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
  • Best single day is 9.5 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Jacksonville

The nearest airport we price is JAX. From New York City that is about 2h 08m in the air out of EWR, 821 miles. Then about 18m to drive from JAX (est. 11 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: 2h 26m. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Jacksonville

15 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.

So, should you go?

Jacksonville scores 8.9 out of 10 and has 3 genuinely clear days out of 16. Dull days (3) still outnumber bright ones (3), so this is not a good week. There is some sun in this window, but not much. Compare it against the rest of the list before booking.

Frequently asked

Is it raining in Jacksonville this week?

No. The current 16-day forecast for Jacksonville shows no rain or storm days, peaking at 79% chance on the worst day. Cloud is not the dealbreaker here — rain is, and none is forecast.

How many clear days does Jacksonville have this week?

3. Jacksonville has 3 genuinely clear days out of the next 16.

Is Jacksonville good for a trip this week?

Marginal. Jacksonville scores 8.9/10, but dull days (3) still outnumber bright ones (3) this week.

Jacksonville by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Jacksonville: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 9% n=248 all destinations →
February 27% n=226 all destinations →
March 37% n=248 all destinations →
April 48% n=240 all destinations →
May 41% n=248 all destinations →
June 15% n=240 all destinations →
July 8% n=248 all destinations →
August 7% n=248 all destinations →
September 22% n=240 all destinations →
October 33% n=248 all destinations →
November 24% n=240 all destinations →
December 16% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Jacksonville in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-10-08T13:01:07.320349Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.